[ Serbia ]

B92 already published some preliminary results of the NGO Center for Free Elections and Democracy (CeSID) which observed the elections: Tomislav Nikolić 39.4 percent, Boris Tadić's 35.4 percent, Velimir Ilić, 7.9 percent, Milutin Mrkonjić, 6.1 percent, Čedomir Jovanović, 5.5 percent. Thus, the run-off on 3 February will oppose Nikolić and Tadić (as expected). More detailed preliminary results are expected tonight - you can consult the CeSID webpage. The EU Observer analyses the consequences for the Serbian EU integration process:

" (...) in the event of Kosovo's independence eventually being recognised by the EU, the consequences for Serbia's EU integration process will depend on who the president is. Although both presidential candidates are categorically against the move, "[Boris] Tadic will continue with EU integration, no matter what happens," while "[Tomislav] Nikolic could take much more drastic measures", Thomas Vanhauwaert of the Brussels-based European Policy Centre (EPC) said. There is "not much" the bloc can do to avoid Belgrade cutting itself off, according to Mr Vanhauwaert. The EU can send Serbia a "positive message" and insist that it wants Belgrade to be part of "the family", but in the end "the Serbian president will have the last say on that," the analyst said."